Peter Todd @pete@petertodd.org
- github
- https://github.com/petertodd
- pgp
- 37EC 7D7B 0A21 7CDB 4B4E 007E 7FAB 1142 67E4 FA04
Admin
Joined Jan 2021
Assume unvaxxed secondary transmission probability is 50%. Assume the partner had zero benefit from the vaccine, while the person had a 95% effectiveness.
(300*10*3/15000000)*0.5*0.05*0.5 = 7.5x10^-6 ~= 1 in 100,000 chance of the partner getting infected due to the person meeting me in person for the project.
...which is an absurdly conservative estimate, as when I would have met them, I would have just done three rounds of PCR testing. 😂
Someone asked me to help them with a project, in person, just after I would have completed my 14 day quarantine after returning from the US. They changed their mind when I told them I wasn't vaccinated, as they were concerned about their immunosuppressed partner. Both are fully vaxed.
Let's run the numbers on this:
Ontario is reporting 300 covid cases a day, out of a population of 15 million. Assume true cases is 10x that. Ontario govt says asymptomatic transmission is up to 3 days.
Peter Todd
boosted
software licenses
So I've been running into software licenses that are pretty much free licenses except that they say stuff like, if you violate the Geneva convention or you harm indigenous communities, you can't use this.
And I'm like... you're gonna sue war criminals for copyright infringement?? What's the plan here?
"Her decision so far to avoid putting Sydney under a lockdown comes as sections of the business community ramp up demands on the nation’s federal and state leaders to abandon a strategy of eliminating Covid-19 cases within the community"
"The so-called “zero-case” strategy is under pressure because of virus leaks from hotels used to quarantine Australians returning from overseas that have triggered localized lockdowns."
No surprise there...
@verretor "It’s unclear whether the bill will become law, however. The legislation needs to win passage through the Senate, a process that could be pre-empted by an election later this year that would effectively kill the bill. If that happens, a new government would have to put it through the legislative mill again if it wants the rules to come into effect."
There's still hope that senators can be pressured into rejecting it. A slim hope. But...
Are Covid Vaccines Riskier Than Advertised? - WSJ
https://www.wsj.com/articles/are-covid-vaccines-riskier-than-advertised-11624381749
"The agency concluded that the vaccine “likely” contributed to the deaths of 10 of these [100] residents through side effects such as fever and diarrhea, and “possibly” contributed to the deaths of an additional 26. But this type of honesty is rare."
Tone is shifting in mainstream media. Probably because they can 1) get away with it, 2) make money on vaccine stories yet again by showing the opposite side.
Article from 20 years ago - when The Guardian actually did real journalism - talking about a fake pandemic of toxic cooking oil, used to cover up a different, very real, health problem killing huge numbers of people.
Lots of lessons here in how science can easily be corrupted by politics.
@stevenroose He's probably right unfortunately. Big issue is that vaccination by injection bypasses the bodies first line of defense - the muscocal immune system - so it could be much more dangerous than a covid infection for a healthy person.
@cgarison Sounds like a "this is going to be really expensive and risky to win" plea.
@jimmysong I'm betting that BBQ will taste better than Bitcoin tonight. #austin
Woops.... There goes one of the central safety claims about RNA vaccines...
Not surprising. But yet another example of why health authorities should tell the truth. Not convenient lies.
Peter Todd
boosted
tungusky. the mastodon app that makes your phone explode, flattening over 2000 square km of forest
First public transit I've taken in over a year and a half. Totally empty. Maybe my hair scared them off?
Peter Todd
boosted
“KYC is the illicit activity.” - @ODELL
Peter Todd
boosted
This is the first time we have heard about financial persecution for defending internet freedom in the Tor community. We're very concerned about PayPal's lack of transparency, and we urge them to reinstate this user’s account.
https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2021/06/paypal-shuts-down-long-time-tor-supporter-no-recourse
Exclusive: How Amateur Sleuths Broke the Wuhan Lab Story and Embarrassed the Media
https://www.newsweek.com/exclusive-how-amateur-sleuths-broke-wuhan-lab-story-embarrassed-media-1596958
The crazy thing is this story _itself_ is covering up the media's fraud.
You didn't need to do sleuthing to uncover the high chance of this being a lab leak. From day one it was a high probability simply because of the very unlikely coincidence that China's only lab doing this stuff was at the site of the first reported outbreak.
"Is the Second Shot Giving Young Men a Dangerous Heart Condition?"
Israel Detects Link Between Myocarditis and COVID Vaccine
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2021/06/israel-detects-link-between-myocarditis-and-covid-vaccine.html
If the second shot of Pfizer triggers myocarditis in about 1 in 5000 shots, could something else also trigger it?
Even just skipping the second dose may not be enough if first shots are priming young men to develop myocarditis later down the line.
Peter Todd
boosted
for the hets out there who just don't understand that we hate corporate pride more than you do:
- github
- https://github.com/petertodd
- pgp
- 37EC 7D7B 0A21 7CDB 4B4E 007E 7FAB 1142 67E4 FA04
Admin
Joined Jan 2021
